GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aveley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Maldon & Tiptree are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Aveley are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aveley hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Aveley holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aveley

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

11.3%

Aveley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maldon & TiptreeLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AveleyDLWDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Maldon & TiptreeAveley
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
7.0Power45.3
1.50xG1.75
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