Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Malaysia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vietnam are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vietnam hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 84.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the ASEAN Championship, while Vietnam holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
10.7%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60