MalacatecovsXelajú

Malacateco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Xelajú are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Xelajú hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.0% in the Liga Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.