GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Makhachkala · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Makhachkala are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Makhachkala hold a 41.3-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Premier League, while Makhachkala holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Makhachkala

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MakhachkalaWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LokomotivDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MakhachkalaLokomotiv
66.7Attack25.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form25.0
83.3Power42.1
1.55xG0.84
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