Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Majosi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Majosi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sárbogárd are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Majosi hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the NB III - Southwest, while Majosi holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Majosi
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
10.5%
Majosi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50