GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/18/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandWLWDW

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandLambton Jaffas
60.3Attack57.1
50.8Defence47.6
61.9Form34.9
60.0Power46.2
2.19xG1.51
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