Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Maitland are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kahibah are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20