Maitlandvs
Belmont Swansea
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/30/2026, 6:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Maitland are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80