GGOALVIO

Germany · U19 Bundesliga · 8/9/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Köln U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mainz 05 U19 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Köln U19 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Köln U19 hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the U19 Bundesliga, while Köln U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Köln U19

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Köln U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mainz 05 U19DLWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Köln U19WLWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mainz 05 U19Köln U19
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power75.5
1.70xG2.14
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