Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Magni · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Magni are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while KFG are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Magni hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the 2. Deild, while Magni holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Magni
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
6.9%
Magni has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00