Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fjolnir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Magni are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fjolnir are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fjolnir hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the 2. Deild, while Fjolnir holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fjolnir
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Fjolnir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60