GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 4/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Magic United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

72.3%

Model confidence

72.3%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Magic UnitedWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Magic UnitedMoreton City Excelsior
50.0Attack77.3
10.6Defence47.0
33.3Form59.1
33.3Power59.9
1.62xG4.05
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