Magic Unitedvs
Moreton City Excelsior
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 4/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Magic United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moreton City Excelsior
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40