GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 5/31/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Magic United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

86.5%

Model confidence

86.5%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Magic UnitedLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LionsWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Magic UnitedLions
50.0Attack86.4
10.6Defence66.7
33.3Form80.3
33.3Power77.2
0.97xG4.50
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