GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Magallanes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Marcos de Arica

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MagallanesWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
San Marcos de AricaDDLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MagallanesSan Marcos de Arica
57.4Attack40.0
42.6Defence73.3
51.9Form50.0
53.6Power56.1
0.98xG1.26
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