MadureiravsPouso Alegre

Madureira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pouso Alegre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Madureira hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Serie D, while Madureira holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.