GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portuguesa RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Madureira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Portuguesa RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa RJ hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portuguesa RJ

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Portuguesa RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MadureiraLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portuguesa RJWDLWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MadureiraPortuguesa RJ
36.7Attack42.9
46.7Defence71.4
36.7Form45.2
42.5Power53.7
0.65xG1.29
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