MadureiravsÁgua Santa

Madureira are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Água Santa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Água Santa hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Serie D, while Água Santa holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.