Madureiravs
América RJ
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madureira · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Madureira are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while América RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Madureira hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Serie D, while Madureira holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Madureira
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Madureira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80