GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Madureira · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Madureira are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while América RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Madureira hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Serie D, while Madureira holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Madureira

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Madureira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MadureiraDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
América RJDLLWW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MadureiraAmérica RJ
36.7Attack33.3
46.7Defence33.3
36.7Form36.1
42.5Power37.1
1.59xG0.96
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