Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madureira · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Madureira are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while ABC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Madureira hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Madureira holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Madureira
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Madureira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60