GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Machida Zelvia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yokohama F. Marinos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 42.8-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

10.9%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Machida ZelviaDDLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Yokohama F. MarinosDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos
100.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
95.8Power53.0
2.03xG1.09
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