GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Machida Zelvia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 64.5-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

60.4%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Machida ZelviaWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tokyo VerdyLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Machida ZelviaTokyo Verdy
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form16.7
95.8Power31.3
2.09xG0.92
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