GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 6/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Machida Zelvia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 69.2-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Machida ZelviaDWDDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nagoya GrampusDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
100.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form0.0
95.8Power26.7
1.96xG0.89
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