GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Katamon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Maccabi Haifa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hapoel Katamon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Katamon holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Katamon

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

10.8%

Hapoel Katamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi HaifaWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hapoel KatamonWDWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Maccabi HaifaHapoel Katamon
58.3Attack58.3
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form58.3
49.1Power57.5
1.69xG1.71
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