GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Macara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Macara

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MacaraWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tecnico UniversitarioDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MacaraTecnico Universitario
44.4Attack27.8
66.7Defence55.6
56.9Form36.1
57.0Power41.6
1.33xG0.48
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