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Macara logoMacaravsMushuc Runa SC logoMushuc Runa SC

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Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/14/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Macara are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Macara

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MacaraWWWDD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Mushuc Runa SCLWLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MacaraMushuc Runa SC
44.4Attack42.7
66.7Defence54.7
56.9Form42.7
57.0Power48.4
1.33xG0.76
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