Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Macara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Libertad are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Macara
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
18.9%
Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40