Macaravs
Leones del Norte
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 2/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Macara are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60