GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Macara are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MacaraWDDLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
LDU de QuitoWDDWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MacaraLDU de Quito
44.4Attack31.9
66.7Defence72.2
56.9Form48.6
57.0Power52.8
0.80xG0.57
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