GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/2/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Macara are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guayaquil City FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.2% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Macara

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

23.2%

Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MacaraDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guayaquil City FCDDWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MacaraGuayaquil City FC
44.4Attack27.8
66.7Defence65.3
56.9Form40.3
57.0Power47.1
1.02xG0.49
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