Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Macara are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Delfin SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Macara
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
23.1%
Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40