GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/19/2026, 11:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Macara are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Barcelona SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MacaraWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Barcelona SCLWLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MacaraBarcelona SC
44.4Attack33.3
66.7Defence73.3
56.9Form48.0
57.0Power53.6
0.77xG0.60
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