GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 6/17/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Macaé are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Americano Campos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Americano Campos hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MacaéLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Americano CamposWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MacaéAmericano Campos
16.7Attack25.0
66.7Defence75.0
16.7Form41.7
36.5Power50.3
0.82xG0.81
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