Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
10%
LowconfidenceMaardu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Viimsi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and viimsi hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely result in the Esiliiga A, favouring Viimsi with 9.7% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
9.7%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaarduWWLWD
GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ViimsiLWWLD
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MaarduViimsi
53.0Attack56.1
24.2Defence66.7
43.9Form57.6
42.2Power60.1
1.13xG2.54