Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Maardu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Viimsi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Viimsi hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the Esiliiga A, while Viimsi holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60