Maarduvs
Tartu Welco
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 7/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Maardu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
8.7%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00