MaarduvsTallinna Kalev

Maardu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.