MaarduvsNõmme Kalju II

Maardu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.