Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maardu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Legion are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maardu
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 13 · GA 21 · avg 2.60/4.20