Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Maardu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Flora II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80