Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Maardu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Flora II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maardu
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40