Maarduvs
FC Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Maardu are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maardu
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
7.5%
Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00