GGOALVIO

Maardu logoMaarduvsFC Tallinn logoFC Tallinn

COMPLETED

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 4/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Maardu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maardu

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

7.5%

Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaarduLWDLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC TallinnLLWDL

GF 10 · GA 20 · avg 2.00/4.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MaarduFC Tallinn
53.0Attack43.9
24.2Defence24.2
43.9Form36.4
42.2Power37.0
2.73xG1.87
View match centre →