Lyonvs
Sparta Praha
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lyon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sparta Praha are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the UEFA Champions League, while Sparta Praha holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
12.3%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60