Lyonvs
FC ST. Gallen
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Lyon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FC ST. Gallen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80