GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Lyon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FC ST. Gallen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lyon

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LyonWLLWW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC ST. GallenWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LyonFC ST. Gallen
93.3Attack70.4
80.0Defence37.0
66.7Form44.4
74.1Power47.2
3.10xG1.48
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