Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Lyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sogndal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.6 against 38.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the 1. Division, while Lyn holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20