Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Lyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while hodd are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
8.6%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40