Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Lyn II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Elverum are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Elverum hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Elverum holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40