Luverdensevs
Gama
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Luverdense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gama are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.5% in the Serie D, while Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gama
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
20.5%
Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20