Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
Luunja are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tulevik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luunja
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60