GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3

Lowconfidence

Luunja are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Luunja

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

6.8%

Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuunjaDWWLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21LLLWW

GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 3.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LuunjaParnu JK Vaprus U21
93.7Attack93.7
34.9Defence22.2
66.7Form50.8
62.5Power53.7
4.50xG3.48
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